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Trend Reports

Steve Rick – November 2024 Credit Union Trends Report

Highlights from the Credit Union Trends Report

        • Credit union loan-to-savings ratios expected to remain above 85% in 2025 for the third year in a row.
        • Credit union used auto loan growth is the slowest on record, falling 3.9%.
        • The OFHEO House Price Index rose 4.3% over the last year ending in the third quarter, above the 4.0% long run average.
        • The credit union system’s equity-to-asset ratio rose to 9.7% in September, up from 9.6% in August and 8.7% in September 2023

Highlights from the Economic Report

        • The U.S. economy is expected to grow 2.4% in 2024 and 2.5% in 2025.
        • The unemployment rate rose to 4.2% in November, still below the 4.5% considered full employment.
        • The core personal consumption expenditure deflator rose to 2.8% on a year over year pace, above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
        • The U.S. money supply as measure by M2 rose 3.0% in the year ending in October, significantly below the 5.4% long run average.

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Steve Rick – October 2024 Credit Union Trends Report

Highlights from the Credit Union Trends Report

        • The average credit union member increased their total credit union deposits by $504 over the last year, from $13,420 in August 2023 to $13,942 in August 2024.
        • Credit union loan growth expected to rise to 6% in 2025, from 3% in 2024.
        • Credit union new auto loan balances fell 0.6% in August, below the 0.1% gain set in August 2023.
        • Home prices rose 0.3% in August, according to the S&P Core Logic Case-Shiller Home Price Index and rose 4.2% year-over-year despite the worst housing affordability in almost 40 years.

Highlights from the Economic Report

        • The U.S. economy is expected to grow 2.4% in 2024 and 2% in 2025.
        • The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in September, below the 4.5% considered full employment.
        • The core personal consumption expenditure deflator rose to 2.7% on a year over year pace, above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
        • The U.S. money supply as measure by M2 rose 2.0% in the year ending in August, significantly below the 5.4% long run average.

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Steve Rick – September 2024 Credit Union Trends Report

Highlights from the Credit Union Trends Report

        • The U.S. money supply increased $620 billion during the last year, boosting credit union deposit growth rates.
        • Credit union loan growth slows to 3.8% during the last year due to high interest rates, tight liquidity and strong competition.
        • Credit union new-auto loan balances fell 3.6% year to date, significantly below the 8% expected during a healthy labor market.
        • Credit union first mortgage loan originations dropped 8.9% in the first half of 2024 compared to the first half of 2023.

Highlights from the Economic Report

        • The U.S. economy is expected to grow 2.4% in 2024 and 2% in 2025.
        • The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in September, below the 4.5% considered full employment.
        • The core personal consumption expenditure deflator rose to 2.7% on a year over year pace, above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
        • The U.S. money supply as measured by M2 rose 2.0% in the year ending in August, significantly below the 5.4% long run average.

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